Nsw newspoll

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Two new polls suggest the New South Wales Coalition has closed the gap on Labor, putting the state on track for a minority government. If replicated uniformly on 25 March, both major parties would fall short of the 47 seats needed for majority government and be forced to rely on crossbench support. A second poll published on Monday painted a somewhat rosier picture for Labor but indicated the fine line the opposition leader, Chris Minns, must walk to topple the premier, Dominic Perrottet. However, Perrottet enjoyed a double-digit lead in the preferred premier stakes in both polls, along with a positive net approval rating in Newspoll. The plan revealed by Perrottet on Sunday would enable first home buyers to continue choosing between an upfront stamp duty payment or an annual land tax on their family home for life. But the announcement was seized on by Labor as a clear indication the premier could further expand the scheme to all homes. NSW election: Dominic Perrottet has a double-digit lead as preferred premier in two recent polls.

Nsw newspoll

Newspoll has a long tradition of predicting Australian Federal Election results, both federal and state. Until May , Newspoll was a market research and polling company, part owned by News Corp Australia. In May administration of Newspoll was transferred to Galaxy Research. Newspoll's surveys of voting intention are published exclusively in The Australian. The poll is widely cited in other Australian and global media. Newspoll was established in as a joint venture between News Limited and Yann Campbell Hoare Wheeler, which later was purchased by Millward Brown during the s leading to the current ownership structure. In this company was wound up with The Australian announcing that henceforth Newspoll would become a polling brand administered by Galaxy. The transfer of operation to Galaxy came with a significant change in polling methods, from live telephone interviews to a mix of online and automated telephone interviews. A further change occurred in November , with YouGov switching to entirely online polling. The latest Newspoll was conducted between May June 3 with a sample of respondents. Besides the usual questions on the federal leadership and voting intention, the poll also included a question on the upcoming referendum on the issue of an Indigenous voice to parliament see below.

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Dominic Perrottet Liberal. Chris Minns Labor. The Greens , the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party , other minor parties and several independents also contested the election. The outcome resulted in the first Labor government in the state in 12 years, ending the longest Coalition government in New South Wales history. Though the Coalition was defeated, Labor were unable to win enough seats to govern in majority , resulting in a hung parliament.

Adrian Beaumont does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. A federal Newspoll, conducted April from a sample of 1,, gave Labor a lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. Albanese led Dutton by as better PM, a narrowing from previously. Newspoll figures are from The Poll Bludger. Read more: Voice support increases in Essential and Resolve polls. Resolve does not give a two party estimate until close to elections, but applying election preferences to these primary votes gives Labor over a lead, a two-point gain for Labor since March. Resolve has been the most pro-Labor regular pollster since the last federal election.

Nsw newspoll

Adrian Beaumont does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. The New South Wales state election will be held on Saturday. I had a preview of both the lower and upper houses last week. Read more: NSW election preview: Labor likely to fall short of a majority, which could result in hung parliament. No explicit two party estimate was given, but the SMH article talks about a 4. As I have predicted previously, the use of actual ballot papers in this poll sharply reduced independent support. Not every seat has strong independent candidates. Since Labor won the May federal election, Resolve has usually had better results for state and federal Labor than other polls. As my preview article suggested, Labor would probably not win a lower house majority if this poll were replicated on election day, and a hung parliament would be a strong chance.

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Read Edit View history. Resolve Strategic []. Tanya Davies. ABC News. While a loss would have a negative impact for the opposition leader, especially in teal seats he needs to win, it would have more serious challenges and consequences for Albanese. On 1 October , Berejiklian resigned as Premier following the launch of an Independent Commission Against Corruption ICAC investigation into her having possibly breached public trust or encouraged corrupt behaviour during her personal relationship with the former member for Wagga Wagga , Daryl Maguire. Newspoll was established in as a joint venture between News Limited and Yann Campbell Hoare Wheeler, which later was purchased by Millward Brown during the s leading to the current ownership structure. Geoff Lee. Stephanie Di Pasqua. This article needs additional citations for verification. However, independents not affiliated with Climate did win several seats; Northern Beaches Mayor Michael Regan gained the seat of Wakehurst from the Liberal Party and several other independents retained their seats including the SFF-turned-independent members for Barwon , Orange and Murray , as well as the independent members of Lake Macquarie , Sydney and Wagga Wagga.

Adrian Beaumont does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. The New South Wales state election is today. Polls close at 6pm AEDT.

North Shore. See the footnotes for details. Felicity Wilson. The following members announced they would not be contesting the election:. Your questions answered". Newspoll's surveys of voting intention are published exclusively in The Australian. Jamie Parker. The statewide swing against the Coalition and the swing to Labor was highly concentrated in Sydney particularly in Western Sydney and on the South Coast. Download as PDF Printable version. David Saliba. A Channel 9 leaders debate between Labor and Liberal leaders was held on 15 March