Precipitation outlook

Tornadoes, hail, and high winds: 60 million brace for severe weather.

Colors show where total precipitation has an increased chance of being higher or lower than usual during the next three months. The darker the shading, the greater the chance for the indicated condition. White areas have equal chances for precipitation totals that are below, near, or above the long-term average median for the next three months. Climate scientists base future climate outlooks on current patterns in the ocean and atmosphere. They examine projections from climate and weather models and consider recent trends. They also check historical records to see how much precipitation fell when patterns were similar in the past. Water managers, farmers, and forestry officials have an intense interest in precipitation outlooks.

Precipitation outlook

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. Using the climatology period —, the 6—10 day and 8—14 day outlooks depict whether the probability percent chance of above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the noted time frame. The monthly and seasonal outlooks depict the probability percent chance of above-or below-normal conditions. The colored shading on the map indicates the degree of confidence the forecaster has in the category indicated. The darker the shading, the greater is the level of confidence. For temperature outlooks, blue hues indicate "below-normal" and orange-red hues indicate "above normal. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal precipitation 8 to 14 days in the future. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal green hues or below-normal brown hues precipitation over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal precipitation. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal temperature 8 to 14 days in the future. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal red hues or below-normal blue hues temperatures over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal temperatures. Drought is defined as the lack of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually for a season or more, that results in a water shortage. Changes in precipitation can substantially disrupt crops and livestock, influence the frequency and intensity of severe weather events, and affect the quality and quantity of water available for municipal and industrial use.

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Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions. Includes ability to download reports and associated metadata in csv format. Reports include rain, snow, ice, and severe weather, as well as other significant information from storm spotters. Displays the climatological significance of precipitation forecast by WPC. We are actively working to resolve this problem. Interactive display of where temperatures could approach or exceed records within the contiguous U.

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Precipitation outlook

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. According to forecasts from the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, heavy snowfall is forecast in the Colorado Front Range area from March 14—15, while heavy precipitation with this storm system is also likely across other parts of the Four Corners states. Aside from portions of the Four Corners states, much of the West is likely to stay dry through Monday evening. Farther east, through Monday evening, half an inch or more of precipitation is forecast from central Nebraska eastward into parts of the Rust Belt. Rainfall amounts of a half inch to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts, are also forecast from central Texas eastward through southeast Oklahoma, Arkansas and southeast Missouri to most of Georgia and Tennessee and southern Kentucky. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center's 6—10 day forecast valid March 19—23 favors near-normal or above-normal precipitation across the contiguous U.

Saw needle pit

This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal precipitation 8 to 14 days in the future. There continues to be north-south model spread with respect to where the max convective qpf axis will set up. Along the I urban corridor and into the High Plains, amounts will be more modest, but several inches of snow should create impacts along this corridor as well. Analog guidance that uses an objective approach to find historical events that are similar to the upcoming forecast. Heavy snows possible across parts of the southern Rockies into Friday Solar eclipse weather forecast: AccuWeather provides 1st cloud outlook. Skier dies after falling nearly feet down Mount Washington ravine. Ascent across the region will be driven primarily via height falls and PVA associated with this shortwave, but a modest 90kt Pacific jet streak is also likely to orient WNW to ESE, driving favorable LFQ diffluence into the area as well. Analyzed at 18Z Mon Mar 11, Learn More. Dataset Details Monthly images from to present Download Directories Click on any of the links below to view a directory listing of images and assets related to this dataset. They use them to help make decisions about water resources, irrigation, and fire-fighting resources. Water Supply Periods of drought can lead to inadequate water supply , threatening the health, safety, and welfare of communities. The primary deterministic global members have continued to trend deeper and SW with this closed low as it cuts off beneath the omega block across the Pacific. The darker the shading, the greater the chance for the indicated condition.

Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions.

Streamflow, groundwater, reservoir, and snowpack data are key to monitoring and forecasting water supply. The slight risk is across areas that have had below average precip over the past few weeks and subsequently relative high FFG values. A portal for atmospheric river forecasts and diagnostics from the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes. Winter Weather Forecasts Legacy Page :. The site is secure. Winter Weather Biggest snowstorm of the season may be headed for Denver 4 hours ago. This feature would promote a multi-day period of heavy rainfall potential across parts of the Southern U. Analyzed at 12Z Tue Mar 12, Intense Rainfall and Flash Flood Reports. Follow us on Facebook. Colors show where total precipitation has an increased chance of being higher or lower than usual during the next three months. Analyzed at 15Z Mon Mar 11, Behind this, a cold front and deepening trough will drop into the region bringing moderately strong northerly winds spreading from west to east across the state following the frontal passage. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal red hues or below-normal blue hues temperatures over the next calendar month. Model consensus is for mostly moderate precip amount here, across a region where soils are not saturated.